(CNN)As the peak of hurricane season approaches, the Southeast coast needs to be on guard. An area of disorganized storms just off the coast of Florida will impact the region in coming days.

The National Hurricane Center says it is likely to form into a tropical depression by Saturday night. The storm system is producing showers across southeast Florida and will continue to meander up the coast during the first half of the weekend. Track the storms here >>>Once the storm moves east over open water later in the weekend, there is a better chance of further intensification. Read MoreThe probability is high over the next few days that a tropical cyclone will form, but the forecast models currently keep the storm off shore. Coastal areas in Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas should still monitor this system.Two other tropical systems to watchChantal has decreased in intensity and is no threat to land, but it is the only named storm currently in the Atlantic. The tropical depression is closer to Europe than the US, and not on many people’s radar. There’s also another cluster of storms to watch well east of the Windward Islands. While this storm is about 1,400 miles from the islands, it will be something to watch long-term as it chugs along to the west. We’re just getting startedHurricane season is a grueling six-month span of waiting and monitoring for storms. Coastal residents sit on pins and needles waiting to see if they will be the ones impacted that season, or if this is the season they will be spared. Extreme weather

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It’s easy to become complacent during the first half of the season, which is typically very quiet. Just because this year’s hurricane season got off to a slow start, doesn’t mean it will stay that way. September 10 is considered the actual peak of the season, but during the end of August we typically start to see more development — and that’s exactly what’s happening. “With only three named storms and one hurricane so far, it might seem like we are below average”, says CNN Meteorologist Taylor Ward. “In fact, that’s right where we should be. The three storms have all been relatively weak and short-lived, but the heart of the season is here.” During an eight-week period that surrounds September 10, storms begin to fire up quickly. During a typical season, two-thirds of all the storms produced happen during this statistical peak of hurricane season. Peak of hurricane season in the AtlanticPeak of hurricane season in the AtlanticPeak of hurricane season in the AtlanticThis is because conditions in the tropics become prime for storm development. Typically, by the end of August, water in the tropics have warmed in many places to at least the mid-80s. Also, wind shear across the Atlantic starts to weaken, allowing for storms to develop. And this year, El Nino has dissipated completely, making conditions even more favorable for development. “We are heading into the Cape Verde season, where we often see the most impactful hurricanes”, says senior CNN meteorologist Dave Hennen. “Tropical disturbances move off Africa around the Cape Verde islands and have plenty of time as they move across the Atlantic to turn into major storms. Many of the most memorable storms like Andrew and Katrina were Cape Verde storms, which makes this the most dangerous time of the year for hurricanes.”

Source Link:
https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/23/weather/possible-tropical-storm-formation-east-coast-us/index.html

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