The S&P 500 index is up roughly 10% over the past year or so, but giant U.S. utilities Southern Company (NYSE: SO) and Dominion Energy (NYSE: D) are up more than 14%. That outperformance might come as a surprise to some, considering that these diversified utilities are known for their big yields and boring government-regulated businesses. Despite the rally, however, both are still interesting options for income investors looking to add reliable dividend payers to the mix.
Getting the project back on track
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Southern Company offers investors a 4.6% yield despite the big rally during the past year. That's toward the high end of the utility peer group, but for a very good reason. Southern has had problems getting a big capital investment past the finish line.
The company started work on the Vogtle nuclear-power project in 2012. Building two new nuclear reactors at the site, which already has two operating units, has not gone particularly well. There were cost overruns and delays, and then contractor Westinghouse declared bankruptcy. That last one put the entire project at risk, but Southern stepped in and took responsibility for overseeing construction. More recently, Southern's partners balked at a price-tag increase, forcing the utility to also take on the financial risk of rising costs.
It would be premature to call this a disastrous investment, but so far it looks pretty bad. However, things have been getting better. For one, the new nuclear technology behind the Vogtle project has finally been stress-tested, as Chinese units using the same reactors are now up and running. Southern has been able to learn from those start-ups and streamline its plans. And, as of the last company update, Southern has been exceeding its productivity targets. That suggests that it is actually on track to complete the plants in late 2021 and late 2022, as currently scheduled.
There's still a lot of work to be done, but at this point the future is starting to look a lot brighter. But Southern's capital spending is high right now and it has been forced to increase its leverage. Long-term debt increased from roughly $18.7 billion in 2012 to about $40.7 billion at the end of 2018. That puts long-term debt at roughly 60% of the capital structure, a high but not unreasonable figure (it was roughly 50% in 2012). The payout ratio in 2018, meanwhile, was nearly 100%, even though management has committed to continue increasing its dividend modestly each year.
All in all, there are still reasons to worry about Southern's big dig. But with the project nearing completion, and currently progressing well, investors willing to keep an eye on this giant U.S. utility can collect a fat yield, noting that, once completed, Southern can refocus on deleveraging because its capital investment needs will decline materially. And that, in turn, should improve the dividend coverage ratio.
That didn’t work as planned
Dominion Energy is offering a yield of 4.4%, even after the stock advance it's seen. Like Southern, the yield is toward the high end of the utility group. Although Dominion doesn't have a huge construction project to worry about, it has been working on notable projects — including a now-complete liquefied natural gas export facility. It's also working on a major pipeline project to supply gas to the Northeast. But nothing Dominion has in the works is as contentious as Southern's Vogtle project. The problem for Dominion has been funding all of its plans.
Originally, Dominion created a controlled limited partnership (Dominion Energy Midstream Partners) to use as a funding vehicle. Dominion was going to sell (or drop down) midstream assets it owned and use the cash for growth spending. A regulatory change threw that plan out the window. Dominion was forced to rethink its financing needs, opting to buy its controlled partnership and make greater use of debt. During the past decade, long-term debt at Dominion has roughly doubled, going from $15.5 billion in 2009 to $31 billion in 2018. Debt is roughly 60% of the capital structure today — again high, but not outlandish.
The thing is, Dominion hasn't simply taken on more debt to fund itself. It's also been working to sell assets so that debt doesn't get out of hand. In fact, asset sales have been completed ahead of schedule, improving the outlook even as the utility makes moves to cement its industry position (including buying troubled peer SCANA). Dominion's payout ratio, meanwhile, was around 70% in 2018, down from nearly 90% in 2017, so things really are starting to look better. Although you shouldn't expect massive dividend growth here — as the company continues to work on shoring up its financial foundation — with such a high yield it's still worth a close look for income investors.
A little more work
There's no question that Dominion and Southern require a little more attention than other stocks, as both are working through a period marked by high leverage. Still, both offer industry-leading dividend yields and appear to be making progress in alleviating their respective troubles. Dominion is further along in its efforts than Southern, which still has a couple of years of heavy spending ahead of it. But both are worth a close look for income investors that can handle near-term uncertainty in exchange for above-market yields.
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